The president of Brazil is having
struggles; her cabinet members are dropping like flies as her anti-corruption
drive is being manipulated by politicians pushing their own means.
Brazil president DIlma Rousseff. Image: http://nearshoreamericas.com
Anti-corruption drives are supposed to be a
thing of beauty. But putting corruption above all else might not be the best
way to run a state, and this is quite beautifully displayed by the political recession
in which President Rousseff finds herself. Brazil’s wiliest, and, to be honest,
some of its average, leaders have often used the media to one-up each other,
but its complicated system of coalition governance (the current government
majority in parliament is made up of ten parties, and the opposition, six)
sports so many fingers in the pie that it is often quite hard to work out whose
knife-handle happens to stick out of any particular back.
Rousseff happens to have made two
honourable calls since taking the reins of the world’s seventh largest economy.
The first being to weed out corruption (a huge problem – Transparency
International’s corruption index places Brazil in 69th position –
South Africa is 54th), and the second to slash $30 million from the
state’s expenditure for the year in preparation for a turn in the roaring Brazilian
economy’s fortunes. Most of these cuts came from discretionary spending enjoyed
by politicians, including niche “pet” projects. This has caused severe strife amongst
some leaders, and the procession of cabinet ministers leaving the side of
Rousseff because of accusations, proven or otherwise, that have forced them
out. The most recent under fire is Orlando Silva, the sports minister, accused
of siphoning off funds from a ministry programme intended to bring recreational
facilities in poor areas.
Brazil has lost four cabinet ministers
during Rousseff’s seven-month presidency, and on Monday the procession began to excise a fifth. When Rousseff began her
anti-corruption drive in July, she focussed it on the ministries of transport
and tourism – both headed up by officials from outside the Workers Party (of which
Rousseff is top member). The growing middle-class of Brazil, much like in South
Africa, has far more of an issue with corruption than the poor who care more
for things like housing and poverty alleviation schemes. Think Maslow. In fact, under
Rousseff’s predecessor, the highly popular Lula da Silva, 36 million people
moved into the lowest rung of the middle class (earning between $1,000 and
$3,900 per month). Out of an electorate of 135 million, that’s a hefty number
of votes. Rousseff therefore took a political opportunity, very publicly
clamping down on corruption before the centre-right opposition, who are
supposed to cater for middle-class concerns, did (simply, it’s like the ANC
getting to a solution to Rondebosch and Randburg voters before Helen Zille
wakes up). What looked like a smart political move has gone completely tits-up
though, and threatens to spiral out of control. In fact, it looks nowadays as
though the president isn’t even running it.
The Brazilian media, most notably the
influential weekly, Veja, has whipped up allegations from a surging wave of anonymous
sources who claim to be whistleblowers, which Rousseff now has to treat
seriously as the drive is her own initiative – in spite of a heft portion of
them having as much proof as the Yeti’s recipe for Loch Ness Monster soup.
Aside from the four members who have
already left cabinet, Rousseff is due to lose a fifth, has seen 30 transport
officials go, and 38 warrants of arrest have been issued for tourism ministry
staff. It’s probably also worth pointing
out that her initiative has only initially examined two ministries. The
Brazilian cabinet has 37. While the tourism chief has somehow kept his job,
chief of staff, Antonio Palocci (who also served under Lula) resigned under a
corruption cloud, the defence minister left after he told everyone he voted for
the opposition, the transport minister, Alfredo Nascimento, also gave in, as
did the agriculture minister, Wagner Rossi. In fact, both Nascimento and Rossi
claim there is no truth to the allegations against them, but have walked
anyway. Cities minister, Mario Negromonte has the same, oddly familiar noises. This
last weekend has been ugly for her too: Glesi Hoffmann, who replaced Palocci as
cabinet chief, has been accused of claiming unemployment benefits when she left
the board of a giant power company to run for a senate seat.
The media’s willingness to air
alleged/suspected/reported dirty laundry of just about anyone in cabinet has
meant that political scores are being settled in the media. Allegation after
allegation has been scribed and will now be processed, and obsessed over, and
more people will fall. More pressure is weighing on Rousseff’s shoulders as five
of the six cabinet minsters have been from other parties in her coalition –
only Palocci came from the Workers Party. Whether their departures are
justified or not, it is putting pressure on her governing alliance. In fact,
when Nascimento was replaced by Paulo Sergio Passos (both from the Party of the
Republic) as head of the transport portfolio, and intra-alliance spat ensued as
members weren’t consulted in a fashion they thought appropriate. They are no
longer part of the coalition although the effect of them leaving is negligible;
they are a minor player.
The relationship Rousseff needs to look
after is the one with the Brazil Democratic Movement Party – her vice-president,
Michel Temer is the leader of the party, the second largest in Brazil. (Incidentally
one of last momth’s smuttier news stories is that Temer’s sister-in-law earned
the right to appear on the cover of Playboy Brazil). So don’t be surprised if
the new agriculture minister gets an easy time of it, along with other PMDB-run
ministries: Mines and Energy, Social Security and the Secretariat of Strategic
Affairs (which oversees things like nuclear, space programmes, national intelligence).
But naturally, dirt on anyone that could begin to affect the ruling alliance
would be wonderful for the centre-right opposition.
Rousseff, in response to this crisis which
is threatening to derail her presidency has offered meek responses so far,
claiming that the “PT (Workers party) and the PMDB (Brazilian Democratic
Movement) are the basis of the stability and trust of the government” while
also maintaining she is not trying to force people out of cabinet. It’s not
quite enough when senior politicians are falling like dominoes.
Dilma Rousseff’s near future is going to be
damn hard, and she would do well avoid making Brazil’s actual issues contest
for attention.
No comments:
Post a Comment